Election judges at the Miners Memorial Building in Virginia, Minn.

The power of demographics in the 2018 vote

December 11, 2018
Democrats took the U.S. House in this fall’s elections, and women made historic gains. But who sent them there? Now that the election results are finally in, here is what the data from our Representing US project are telling us.

Testing the waters

December 6, 2018
What is the first thing that comes to your mind when you think about the role of water in your life? This is one of the questions respondents answered in the qualitative study “How Americans Relate to Water” we recently completed with Wilder Research on behalf of the Water Main. The Water Main aims to “connect people to the value of water” as it “builds public will in support of clean, abundant, accessible water.” To support this mission, we needed to first better understand the broader question, how do Americans relate to water?

Poll Watch: Minnesota 2018

November 12, 2018
Minnesota was a bellwether in the 2018 midterm elections. See what various political polls—rounded up from numerous reputable sources—said about the races for governor, attorney general, U.S. Senate, and Minnesota’s Congressional races during the countdown to election day, and how close they were to election outcomes.

A Caring Crisis

November 2, 2018
As the demand for labor intensifies, workers can choose among jobs that help them capitalize on the economy’s gifts. For workers, this economy is a boon. But for those on the receiving end of some occupations, it is nothing short of painful. Many of society’s employed caregivers—assisting children, the disabled, and older adults—perform physically and emotionally demanding work for little pay. With roughly 1 in 10 of these caring jobs now vacant, community members needing care face the consequences.
Ilhan Omar and Jennifer Zielinski

Women are running in more than half of all U.S. House races this November

October 17, 2018
U.S. House is currently governed by four-fifths men. The odds of reducing that fraction are bolstered by the unprecedented number of women appearing on the midterm ballot this fall. In sum, 284 women are vying to represent a congressional district in the 116th Congress. While these are exciting statistics for anyone who believes that more gender parity would serve our country better, the lopsidedness among Democratic and Republican women candidates is dramatic. Among Republicans, the tally is just 52 women, while Democrats have 185 women seeking to become U.S. Representatives this fall.

The Whiter the congressional district, the more likely it is to be represented by a Republican

August 29, 2018
How might our nation’s continually changing demographics play into the 2018 midterms and beyond? Our Representing US project includes 22 demographic variables about each of the nation’s 435 congressional districts, paired with data from the 2016 general election (and subsequent special elections). Here are some insights from an analysis of the data: Democrats dominate among “majority minority” districts; Republicans dominate among congressional districts with White majorities. Republicans do well in older districts; Democrats do well in younger districts. Republicans do well among lower unemployment and higher income districts. Democrats tend to do better in highly educated congressional districts. Nine in 10 districts are represented by someone from the same party that they preferred for president.

The United States will soon be bigger, older, and more diverse

August 2, 2018
The United States population is projected to be bigger, older, and more diverse by 2060, according to the latest Census Bureau projections. How might this country’s composition change between now and then, its 284th birthday? The share of the population who is at least age 65 will increase from about 1 in 7 today to 1 in 4 by 2060. That same year, just over 1 in 3 children are projected be non-Hispanic White. Meanwhile the U.S. population is projected to grow to 404 million, nearly one-quarter larger than today’s 326 million residents.
men walking on street with flags

Millennials eclipse Boomers as potential voters, but not everywhere

July 19, 2018
In The Who’s classic song, “My Generation,” Roger Daltrey wails, “I hope I die before I get old.” Personally, I hope GenXers, Millennials, and even the emergent Generation Z will vote before they get old. This year is projected to be the first that there are more Millennials of voting-age than Baby Boomers in the U.S. electorate. However, youth is wasted on the young, and for many, so is the right to vote. Our new nonpartisan Representing US project reveals where each generation’s influence is greatest, assuming they vote.
mortarboards in air

College: Who's going, finishing, and finding work afterwards

May 30, 2018
The manicured greens on the college quads have largely emptied out, as another batch of hopeful graduates has earned their degrees. Which makes it a good time to consider key trends impacting the college experience: Who’s going, who’s graduating, and what sort of labor market are grads entering after tossing their mortarboards in the air? In 10 states and Washington, D.C., recent college grads face lower unemployment rates than the overall U.S. rate. And newly minted English majors face the highest unemployment rates among the 20 most common majors.